Atlanta Falcons Losses in Consecutive Weeks Defy Odds


Atlanta, GA (OnFocus) – The Atlanta Falcons are doing their part to make history.

Not in a good way.

The team that led the New England Patriots 28-3 in the second half of Super Bowl L1 made history on Sunday, now has consecutive losses the last two weeks. It’s not that they lost, but how remarkable their losses were.  Check out their misery:

  • In Week Two, they held a 16 point fourth quarter lead over the Cowboys and became the first team to score 39 or more points, commit zero turnovers, and still lose.
  • In Week Three, they led the Bears by 15 points in the second half, and still lost.

According to the Elias Sports Bureau, the Falcons became the first team to lose two games in the same season while holding a 15 lead or more.

The Falcons accomplished this in consecutive weeks.

Wait, it gets better, or worse if you are a Falcons fan. Check out the math. According to ESPN Gamecast:

  • The Falcons  had a 99.9% chance of winning their week 2 game against the Cowboys, with their lead and time remaining in the game
  • Atlanta had a 99.6% chance of winning Sunday’s game against the Bears with the lead and time remaining.

Let’s put that in perspective. For them to lose both games, with the lead and little time remaining, there was a 5 in 2000 chance.

Atlanta fans should be used to probability going in their favor, but then turn out wrong.

Their chance of winning Super Bowl 51 with their 28-3 lead? 99.7%.

What’s it all mean? The Falcons’ chance of winning when faced with this probability proves the old adage don’t count your chickens before they’re hatched.

According to, the chance of being audited by the IRS is less than .5%, similar to the chance the Falcons would lose when the numbers say they will win.

Here’s hoping there aren’t any Falcons fans who are worried about getting audited.

To read about the Chance of rare events happening: Click Here

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David Keech
Author: David Keech

David Keech is a math teacher in Wisconsin Rapids and public address announcer for Abbotsord High School. He officiates basketball, baseball, and softball in central Wisconsin. He has reported on amateur sports since 2011, known as 'KeechDaVoice.' David can be reached at [email protected]